President Obama will win re-election, with a solid victory in the popular vote as well as the electoral college, if a mathematical forecasting model developed by a Cal State Fullerton professor proves to be correct.

The model, which relies on a variety of state-by-state polls as well as historical polling data, predicts a popular vote total of 51.81 percent for Obama vs. 48.19 percent for Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

The model places Obama's electoral college total at 286, Romney's at 252, with 270 needed to win...

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